Rookies Archives | Swish Theory https://theswishtheory.com/tag/rookies/ Basketball Analysis & NBA Draft Guides Tue, 27 Jun 2023 15:01:14 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.7.1 https://i0.wp.com/theswishtheory.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Favicon-1.png?fit=32%2C32&ssl=1 Rookies Archives | Swish Theory https://theswishtheory.com/tag/rookies/ 32 32 214889137 Evaluating the 2023 NBA Draft’s “Flawed Freshmen” https://theswishtheory.com/nba-draft/2023/06/evaluating-the-2023-nba-drafts-flawed-freshmen/ Tue, 27 Jun 2023 15:01:05 +0000 https://theswishtheory.com/?p=7577 The NBA draft is in the books but things are far from determined. That is especially the case for our set of “Flawed Freshmen,” viewed so for lack of consistent production all over the court, whether due to injury or misplaced role. Not only will this piece analyze their games up to this point, but ... Read more

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The NBA draft is in the books but things are far from determined. That is especially the case for our set of “Flawed Freshmen,” viewed so for lack of consistent production all over the court, whether due to injury or misplaced role.

Not only will this piece analyze their games up to this point, but also give home remedies to fix what has gone astray. Developmental time when you enter “the league” is highly variable, dependent on draft slot, training staffs and existing personnel. But these players are often already a season behind given poor fitting one-and-done campaigns. Let’s see if we can’t help to set the new crews off on the right foot.


Dereck Lively (RSCI #2, Pick #12 to Dallas Mavericks)

Lively has perhaps the largest discrepancy between strengths and weaknesses in this class, and it wasn’t always clear Duke knew which was which. His up and down season included an early season benching, no longer starting as of the second week of January, but was able to bounce back by season end. His offensive toolset paled in comparison to the more versatile Kyle Filipowski, but defensive dominance is perhaps better suited for the pro game.

My favorite trait of Lively’s is his complete discipline on the defensive end of the court. Watching his pre-college tape alerts one to how this is: playing next to also-elite rim protector Jalen Duren in AAU, Lively learned to move all about the court and have an impact, not just stand near the hoop. Controlled aggressiveness has always been the name of the game for the seven-footer: a description likely worth a lottery pick at face value. His 5.2 fouls per 40 minutes I attribute more to just how many actions he covered, and not unprecedented in elite rim protector prospects (see: Joel Embiid’s 5.8 per 40).

The offensive end is limited in the strictest sense of the word. He is limited in that he has zero post moves and poor touch with the ball, but is able to find areas of value regardless. Returning again to his two-big lineup days, Lively is excellent passing to the interior, a coveted trait for a player of his size. He is able to seek passing windows for drop offs, even occasionally dribbling once or twice to create the space. He truly reminds one of Boston’s Robert Williams III in his ability to let go of the ball quickly despite zero shooting gravity. Expect him to be effective at dribble hand offs as well as empty side pick and rolls, anywhere he will be less rushed with a gap to create even a little.

Rookie Year Remedy: Rim First, Always

There is plenty to like about Lively as an NBA player, #8 on my board. But to insure he sets off on the right path, it’s important to tie him to his livelihood: the rim. Lively is an excellent roamer, but his size and technique better suits a hedge and recover big. If there is one area Lively lacks on defense, it is rim-first approach: he prefers to hunt out the action regardless of where it is. Instilling rim-first defensive principles is essential to him reaching that lofty All-Defense potential, an item Duke failed to preach, harmed by his inconsistent role.

While there was all kinds of hubbub about Lively’s three point shooting potential leading up to the draft, that is a highly unrealistic outcome in my mind for a 60% free throw shooter who made *1* midrange shot all season. In his rookie year with Dallas, Lively should be either 1. In the dunker’s spot, or 2. Hitting a body and rolling to the hoop, at any given point. Oftentimes at Duke he looked in no man’s land, setting a screen into a pre-failed action: that will not be the case with Luka, and makes it all the more important to know exactly where to space.


Brice Sensabaugh (RSCI #49, Pick #28 to Utah Jazz)

It is difficult to understand how Sensabaugh was ranked so low coming out of high school, or why he came off the bench for Ohio State. He has every sign of a unique scoring talent, eating up midrange space as a prospect to then let the feathery touch do the rest of the work. The defense needs work, but that is often the case for premier scoring talents like Brice.

First of all, the numbers – Sensabaugh shot 172 midrange attempts and made just short of half of them. Only Grant Williams and Marcus Morris exceeded his midrange volume and efficiency, and Brice had only 18% of his makes assisted compared to 50% for Grant, 43% for Morris. There is a good case to be made for Brice as the best midrange scorer in recent NCAA history.

So then, why did he fall to the 20s?

The defense, at times, is indeed indefensibly bad. Worst of all is the assignment confusion, a threat to his NBA playing time when player movement is ramped up to a far greater degree. Counteracting this is his defensive rebounding, where his rates of securing boards looks indeed like athletic wings, similar to that of Paul George or Miles Bridges in college. Brice is a big body, and knows how to leverage it in a timely manner when locked in. This gives us hope.

The passing is the other nitpick, and much more nitpicky. Passing is more context dependent than defense at a college setting, and Sensabaugh’s unique scoring traits make him a square peg in round hole for most traditional systems. I saw plenty of talent in him moving the ball, particularly adept at understanding how to make even a shallow drive into a kick. He will never be an offensive conductor, but you want Sensabaugh to finish plays anyways, rather than start them.

Rookie Year Remedy: Work From the Corners

The biggest benefit to Sensabaugh in an NBA system will be how he can no longer be the primary focus of opposing defenses. Sensabaugh struggles to get first steps on opponents, but is excellent at maximizing whatever margin is available. If he can lean into a spot up first, midrange craft second approach as a rookie, he can leverage his teammates’ scoring to help his own, and passing.

On defense as well, keeping Sensabaugh away from the action and close to the tin for rebounding purposes is the way. He will certainly be targeted in switches, where it will be essential for him to stay disciplined – his low steal rate and fairly high foul rate point to a poor decision-maker as it comes to trying to play-make on defense. He can be often found swiping where he shouldn’t, determined to compensate for lack of foot speed.

Utah has a bit of a challenge in finding how to maximize Sensabaugh’s unique talents, but Brice playing inside of his game can help shorten that journey.


Noah Clowney (RSCI #74, Pick #21 to Brooklyn Nets)

Clowney had less of a flawed season and more of a narrowly-defined one. He accepted a role player position at Alabama as a top-100 recruit in Nate Oats’ structured system, a three-and-D power forward between prized Brandon Miller and veteran Charles Bediako. Clowney filled the role admirably, putting up the fifth best Box Plus-Minus grade of any high major freshman.

Watching Noah’s pre-NCAA tape you see mostly the same, but there is intrigue along the fringes. The type that certainly tipped the Brooklyn Nets into seeing more. Most notably, I think Clowney can pass. Not guard-level passing, but adequate for a big, reminding me a bit of Minnesota’s Josh Minott the draft before. He cannot dribble beyond once or, maybe, twice, but when he does he makes the right play more often than you’d expect (for someone who can’t really dribble). The technique needs work, but you can see the outlines of a viable DHO conductor. Clowney got very little practice with the ball on a stacked Bama team, so it’s difficult to say what the ceiling is.

The archetype is swell: Clowney can block some shots, hit some threes, and use his size, strength and touch to finish inside and rebound. Unfortunately, his shotblocking is closer to good than great, three point shot closer to bad than good. But what I was most impressed with is how decisive Noah is when he gets the ball near the basket. His one-step craft to finish is indeed good, and, as Clowney is still not even 19, may end up very good.

Rookie Year Remedy: Play the 5

Now, I just pointed out Clowney lacks high-end polish and consistency across the court…you want him to take on more responsibility? Yes.

Clowney has the physique to hang in the interior, if not the discipline yet. But as a middle-of-the-pack squad lacking a big man floor spacer, the Nets can do worse than giving Clowney some bench run. As the five man, Clowney can refine his interior discipline, often caught contesting on his feet but leaning too far over, allowing his opponent to draw easy fouls. Rep those traits out of him while you have the chance.

Additionally, Clowney with a clean paint will allow him to experiment in ways he was prohibited at Alabama. Despite not being close to a focal point of the offense, Clowney had 27 dunks (6 more than Brandon Miller) and shot a very strong 64% on non-dunk rim attempts. He only took 25 midrange shots but hit half of them, encouraging that his touch is more effective inside the arc. As some more encouraging stats, when Clowney played without Bediako on the floor his free throw rate rose from 0.27 to 0.64; his rim rate from 35% to 56%; his rim finishing from 67% to 74%. He shot fewer threes but gained efficiency everywhere.

Clowney is unlikely to ever be a starting center or power forward, but by letting him run as a backup 5, he may improve both skills. He is strong enough at his core to eventually handle the more physical assignments, let him prove his offense against that.


Cam Whitmore (RSCI #12, Pick #20)

 Whitmore is a high-flying tank, a tornado of activity with a punch, punch to the rim. It’s easy to mix metaphors for a player whose movements make little sense. He’s a stout 232 but has one of the quickest first steps in the class. He is a power mover who can also chop his legs. I would not like to guard Cam Whitmore.

So, why am I lower on him? Well, first of all, he’s quite predictable. Whitmore loves his left, almost always utilizing a combination of a lefty in and out, crossover into either pull-up or straight line acceleration to the rim. The issue is the complexity and flexibility: despite the magic of his movements, it is still tough at the size of a torso to chain together quick moves.

On top of that, Whitmore does not seem like a very creative player. Much of his pre-NCAA production came from transition play, which, yes, that absolutely should be a priority of his NBA game. But he also misses open passes, some obvious rotations, and generally prefers to go from point A to point B without a flexion point in between.

I’m optimistic on him being a plus defensive player simply due to the significance of his physical tools; that quick of a step at that size is going to get blocks and especially steals. Steals are as valuable of a task one can complete outside of putting the ball in the basket. But when it comes down to papering over all the little items opponents can exploit in high-stakes matchups, it is not clear Whitmore is up for the task.

Rookie Year Remedy: Keep It Simple

I run the risk of being low on Whitmore in the same way I was too low on Bennedict Mathurin: NBA teams will be able to cover up for his weaknesses by getting him in his optimal spots. In particular, a young team like the Houston Rockets should be more than happy to run with Whitmore on the wings. Fortunately, he will not need to create many advantages on his own when playing off of Amen Thompson, passing extraordinaire, allowing him to catch the ball when already downhill. The combined pace and vertical talent of those two will be extremely difficult to contain in the open court.

The defensive end might be trickier, on a team that had the second worst points allowed per possession last season. The Rockets still lack an identity on that end, but might do best to lean into their hectic event creators of Tari Eason and Amen as steal mavens: a constantly roaming crew would also make the transition into transition easier.

The minutes breakdown in Houston will be fascinating to watch this year. But they have at their disposal, now, such a dynamic of talent that in order to take advantages of their weakness you may have to first disable their advantages. Leaning into Houston’s collective strengths with quite the store of talent will yield some unexpected results; many of those involve Whitmore as a major player.


Dariq Whitehead (RSCI #1, Pick #22 to Brooklyn Nets)

There was not a single prospect who deserved to have his season tape thrown out than Dariq. With a foot injury that required surgery before the season which never properly healed and a lower leg strain mid-season, Whitehead never looked close to his usual self. It is painful to even watch him try to move around the court wearing a Duke jersey; I cannot imagine what it felt like. Here’s hoping he undergoes the recovery he deserves.

To imagine what he might look like on the other side, we resort more to his high school and AAU tape. Whitehead was arguably the best player in all of high school basketball, rated first in the entire class by RSCI as well as winning the Naismith High School Player of the Year Trophy, back to back national championships and the MVP award for the McDonald’s All-Star Game. While Whitehead’s teams often featured other NBA-level talent, he stuck out consistently for his poise under pressure and contributions across the court.

Dariq is not without flaws as a prospect, but may be without any significant enough to call a true weakness. His athleticism is tilted more towards pace and balance than burst and power, but he is still able to win on first step and dunk above rim protectors here and there. I would advise against putting him on the quicker guards, but he should have no issue finding a suitable assignment on the wing. Whitehead simply contributes across various axes: his constant activity and nose for advantages means locating rebounds, rising and firing in a crowd, excelling at connecting passing but capable of throwing advantage-creating ones as well.

Whitehead has long been a favorite of mine to watch, and I feel a disservice to him in not being selected until the 20s. The NBA draft, first and foremost, is about imagination, even if it’s not obvious on the surface. Whitehead may not recover his full athleticism, but he was always more of a problem-solver than nuclear athlete anyways.

Rookie Year Remedy: Pindowns Galore

For once, it would be nice if things were made easy for Whitehead. From essential connector piece as a HS underclassman to shouldering the usage load as a HS upperclassman to just trying to stay on the court at Duke, he has fought for all he’s taken. I am proposing making it easier on Dariq.

My two favorite Whitehead weapons are the quickness with which he can get his shot off and his ability to stay upright on drives. Wrap those up with some decisive and creative playmaking and you have yourself an excellent play finishing prospect, especially if he stands at 6’6’’. I trust Whitehead perhaps as much as any in the class to make a dribble-pass-shoot decision off the catch while moving through a crowd, so here’s hoping that’s the desired destination for the Nets in getting Dariq up to speed.


Jordan Walsh (RSCI #17, Pick #38 to Boston Celtics)

If you got by Jordan Walsh, no you didn’t. Jordan Walsh has about as ideal as possible recovery tools on the defensive end. Inevitably, even the shutdown defenders lose a step to a true-blue offensive star. The basketball court is tilted towards the offense as the holder of the first move, and how little space it takes for many to get a shot off. But after the gap is created, Walsh will be as good as any at crawling back into perfect position; in fact, many of his steals and blocks came from what would be considered a disadvantageous position.

Walsh is the best shutdown defender prospect in this class, and the best I can remember in recent classes. Unfortunately for Walsh and other such as Usman Garuba, being a lockdown defender does not always guarantee playing time, especially if, as both of them are, you are an offensive liability.

Jordan almost certainly will be a negative on offense, but I am here to argue there is a chance he will not, and perhaps much greater than you think. The shot is where we start, inaccurate but not broken, as there is a lot to like: a simple one-two motion, decently set feet, but inaccuracy due to spatial issues (he throws inaccurate passes here and there) and a bit exaggerated of a form. Both can be fixed by corner three reps, as his 71% from the line, 28% from three and 36% on deep twos point to 33%+ on open threes potential.

The more significant reason for optimism lies in his tape from Link Academy. While inactive most of his time on offense for Arkansas, at Link he was the key to both their transition offense and connecting their half-court offense. He looked far more confident on the move, as with the Razorbacks could get overwhelmed in catch and drive situations. But I see a real passing threat as Walsh is highly creative for a wing and has the athletic tools to take advantage, or else get to the rim. Time to think at Arkansas meant overthinking, but again we see a lane for some offensive value.

Rookie Year Remedy: Just Belong

Walsh gets my most esoteric suggestion, as he simply needs to relax and trust the system on offense. That will be much easier, hopefully, in an ironed out NBA system with a longer view on Walsh’s role. Boston acquiring an early second round draft pick to take the defensive stud – a type they are long familiar with – is encouraging that he will be brought along at the right pace. Obvious from the tape, Walsh loves technique and being in the right place: the Celtics’ infrastructure should encourage that.

To get more concrete about the basketball court, Boston could use some additional front-court athleticism, particularly attacking the rim. Walsh is a stellar vertical athlete, clocking a 33 inch standing vert on top of a 7’1.75’’ wingspan. He is always vigilant on the court, and letting him leak out early in transition could do wonders for his offensive confidence. It may be ugly here and there, but when you have a talent of high athleticism with some creative potential, ugly may be worth putting up with. When remembering we are talking about a potential All-Defense level defender, the rewards of even slight offensive improvements could be spectacular.


Nick Smith Jr (RSCI #3, Pick #27 to Charlotte Hornets)

Nick Smith Jr., perhaps more than anyone on this list, put everything on tape at Arkansas that you would want, if you look for it. Most notably, in his 25 point, 6 assist, 4 steal, 3 rebound, 1 block masterpiece versus Kentucky, or similar 20+ point outputs with stats elsewhere versus Alabama, Georgia, UNC Greensboro and Oklahoma. In these games we see the sell for NSJ, quite obvious: he can score on the ball as easily as off the ball, and will work as hard as he can to be positive everywhere else. The passing is the “swing skill” – if he is indeed the PNR maestro he appeared before Arkansas, which I think he might be, Nick has real All-Star upside.

The shot and, more specifically, the touch is where the pitch starts with Smith, lofty for a guard but instead in a player with a 6’9’’ wingspan. That wingspan and touch mean any shot within 12 feet is available as a floater; his vigilance as a scorer and strong technique make him a threat beyond; his ease of fluidity into pull-up make his range endless despite the wiry frame.

As a pure scoring prospect, there are a few items you could ask for that Nick lacks: his first step is okay (made up somewhat by shiftiness), he has little strength (made up somewhat by aggressiveness) and he can be a bit programmatic getting into his actions. But even that is mediated by Nick’s unique head for finding the right action.

Time and again in watching Nick Smith’s tape, his team used him as a sort of offensive cure-all. Need to set up the primary action? He is a suitable custodian for the ball and adept in PNR. Need to come up with a counter quick? Nick is decisive with good enough handle and passing instincts to set up secondary. Shot clock running out? No shot is a bad shot for a shooter of Nick’s level.

Yes, his shooting efficiency was poor at his time with Arkansas. But knee injuries throw off the entire kinetic chain, making splits tough to judge without proper oomf into gather. At EYBL, Smith shot 56% on 8 twos per game and 38% on 5 threes per game. That is, flat out, both elite volume and efficiency, enough to wipe away any doubts. The tape as well shows ideal technique and the ball time and again falling softly off the rim through the net, if touching the rim at all, from every angle and release point imaginable. Buy it.

Rookie Year Remedy: Let Him Take the Hits

I mean this in a quarterback’s sense, as in, it’s tough to get into a rhythm without taking part in the physical aspects of the game. Nick is an aggressive player by nature, a rarity in his aesthetically-minded offensive archetype and beanpole frame. At every level of competition he can be seen helping aggressively when needed (sometimes when not), flailing around the court and picking up a surprising amount of loose balls and even blocks by virtue of activity. Smith struggled to provide this as often at Arkansas as in years prior, limited particularly in his ability to turn corners, previously much quicker.

NSJ needs not just to grow into his frame, but also continue to find ways to maximize his physicality as a way to win when speed does not. Again unusually for type, Smith has proven capable of finishing through traffic, even yards away from the rim with his touch. If he’s able to get to those spots and hold them down more consistently, that touch can do the rest of the work.


Jalen Hood-Schifino (RSCI #20, Pick #17 to Los Angeles Lakers)

The Schifino section might be the shortest as, well, I have the fewest hard takeaways about his game. JHS was extremely unproductive as a freshman with Indiana, in a context I don’t think was particularly unfair to him. While Hood-Schifino looks the part on the court, good stance and technique generally, he is the single least productive one-and-done first round pick in the barttorvik.com database.

JHS stood out at the NBA Combine with his seven-foot wingspan, which, in conjunction with a strong frame makes him a physical presence. However, the physicality stats lag: he only had 4 dunks all season, only rebound 1.6% of opportunities and had very low steal and block rates. He only took 76 free throws and the exact same number of rim attempts. Hood-Schifino survives, rather, on tough shotmaking.

While falling short of Sensabaugh’s midrange dominance, 90 for 216 (42%) is nothing to scoff at, especially considering JHS struggles mightily to create separation. He gets into his shot pocket almost automatically regardless of position, a rare trait. But scoring prospects need easy buckets, and those were few and far between for Jalen. While his finishing touch and creativity is good, he struggled to hit openings, stuck taking difficult rim attempts. This, along with mixed three point results, dropped his true shooting percentage below 50% – a tough pill for a shotmaking prospect.

If, rather, you view JHS as a table-setter, I have qualms as there too. For someone who looks in ready-set position at any given point, Schifino makes a shocking number of careless errors. Whether not executing a pass fully or not concentrating when catching the ball, a 19% turnover rate for someone with fairly basic offensive responsibilities is another red flag.

Finally, the defense. I want my table-setters to get into their opponent’s body, or at least be constantly roaming to use their length. JHS doesn’t really do either of those, evidenced both by his low stock rates and the tape where he’s seen getting disconnected from his man fairly often. The margins are small for this type with plenty of guard competition; JHS’s wingspan stands out, but is he using it?

Rookie Year Remedy: Shoot, Shoot Some More

The promised land for JHS, as well as the Lakers, relies in Hood-Schifino’s tough shotmaking. It is astounding at times how unbothered he is despite have zero breathing room to get a shot off. With a quick, high release, I trust him to get his tough FGA when he wants it, even if easier creation looks never come.

With LeBron on the team, JHS won’t have to table set if he doesn’t need to, and instead can run off of screen after screen to create that separation. His 6.1 threes per 100 possessions will hopefully be the fewest in his career, as 3s > 2s and JHS has no issue launching from distance.

I struggle to see JHS changing his tune as it comes to productive stats as the precedent would be too severe compared to his stats profile at Indiana, but it is still just one season. His pedigree, playing with the top HS and AAU teams in the country, should help him fit in on a win-now team, as he certainly looks like a pro when he steps on the court. But the carelessness is a quick way to be taken out and lose important development reps.

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Jaden Hardy https://theswishtheory.com/scouting-reports/jaden-hardy/ Mon, 31 Oct 2022 19:38:08 +0000 https://theswishtheory.com/?post_type=scouting-reports&p=3497 Meet Jaden Hardy With the 37th pick of the 2022 NBA Draft, the Dallas Mavericks selected former 5-star recruit, Jaden Hardy, out of the G League Ignite. Standing at 6’4″, Hardy brings an intriguing skillset to a Mavericks team in desperate need of more ballhandlers. Hardy loves to get to his shot and he flashed ... Read more

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Meet Jaden Hardy

With the 37th pick of the 2022 NBA Draft, the Dallas Mavericks selected former 5-star recruit, Jaden Hardy, out of the G League Ignite. Standing at 6’4″, Hardy brings an intriguing skillset to a Mavericks team in desperate need of more ballhandlers. Hardy loves to get to his shot and he flashed advanced shot-making and self-creation throughout his time with Ignite, though not without room for improvement.

Shotmaking

While the flashes are nice, Hardy badly needs to improve his efficiency for him to have a positive impact on the offensive side of the floor. In 25 games for Ignite, Hardy rocked a 52% true shooting percentage and took far too many early clock and heavily contested jumpers for my liking.

Shot selection

Despite this, I remain confident he’ll improve his efficiency, as his free throw shooting (82%) and shot volume/diet are both great indicators of ++ touch while I trust an NBA coaching staff and a simplified role to clean up the shot selection a little bit. Where most of my concern lies with Hardy is his finishing at the rim. He shot a paltry 49% at the cup this past season and really struggled with size, length, and contact, pointing to functional strength and vertical pop deficiencies. Finishing against NBA bigs will likely compound this problem, and could seriously limit his upside as an on-ball creator if he doesn’t improve.

Finishing Struggles

Luckily for Hardy, he should thrive in a more off-ball role next to a creator like Luka as his off-ball movement and catch-and-shoot ability are both at a good level at this point in his career. He’s shown the ability to attack closeouts well, and while the rim finishing will continue to hurt him here, his passing game really grew as the G League season went on, suggesting an avenue to success in attacking and making reads against a tilted defense. Meanwhile, his off-the-dribble shotmaking could give the Mavs and Luka a release valve similar to the one Jalen Brunson provided to the team.

Attacking closeouts
Passing

Where Hardy has Improved Already

I’m going to quickly outline some areas that Hardy has already improved in to give us a good idea of his current development trajectory and where we can expect his improvements to come.

As I mentioned earlier, Hardy’s passing has improved a bit already, trading tougher shots that he was taking earlier in the season for smarter decisions. Overall, the game just slowed down for him as the season went on, showing some really nice instances of poise, control, and playing at his own pace in situations where he previously panicked or rushed to get to his shot. Continuing to improve in this area will really help his efficiency and even his finishing at the rim as he picks and chooses when to attack a little better.

Panicking, out of control early season

Defense

The defensive end of the floor is a bit less promising for Hardy. As a point-of-attack defender, he gave up blow-bys far too often, frequently getting beat as a result of a poor gamble, body orientation, or screen navigation. With lackluster strength and recovery skills, a Hardy blow-by almost always guaranteed a good shot opportunity for the opponent and is something to monitor as Jason Kidd attempts to get him acclimated to playing defense at the NBA level. There may be room for optimism as Hardy’s plus wingspan and active hands already bother opposing players at times. A lot of growth could come from simply getting more minutes and understanding as a part of an NBA defense.

Bad POA defense

As an off-ball defender, Hardy wasn’t great either, rotating and playing passing lanes well at times, but also missing tags or rotations here and there due to ball-watching or lapses in concentration. Again, a lot of this should in theory improve with time, but it is still important to note the level he’s at now.

Bad off-ball defense
Good off-ball defense

Conclusion

All in all, Jaden Hardy is a really fun prospect who, if he continues to make improvements to his game, could make a lot of teams regret letting him fall to the Mavericks. While he’s started the season out of the rotation, expect him to grow into a larger role for the Mavs as the season goes on.

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Dyson Daniels https://theswishtheory.com/scouting-reports/dyson-daniels/ Fri, 21 Oct 2022 19:15:45 +0000 https://theswishtheory.com/?post_type=scouting-reports&p=3211 Meet Dyson Daniels Dyson Daniels is a 6’8″ connective guard from Australia who spent last season on G League Ignite. A lesser known prospect as a product of the NBA Academy, Daniels quickly caught the eyes of scouts. By the 2nd half of the season, Daniels had surpassed teammate and former top-5 recruit Jaden Hardy ... Read more

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Meet Dyson Daniels

Dyson Daniels is a 6’8″ connective guard from Australia who spent last season on G League Ignite. A lesser known prospect as a product of the NBA Academy, Daniels quickly caught the eyes of scouts. By the 2nd half of the season, Daniels had surpassed teammate and former top-5 recruit Jaden Hardy on NBA draft big boards. In the Rising Stars challenge, Daniels played alongside former #1 pick Cade Cunningham, and won their tournament with Daniels playing a key role on the team. Daniels went 8th overall to the New Orleans Pelicans, a team with many other connective players and pseudo-playmakers. Daniels looks to carve out a role on a young Pelicans team through his defensive prowess and quick decision-making.

Offense

Dyson excelled last season in the point guard role for Team Ignite. Struggling in the first half of the season, he found his footing during the G League Ignite tour. Dyson had a 10 percentage point increase in 3 point percentage, and had improved stats in every category. On a struggling Ignite team, Daniels stood out with his decision making. Adjusting from his academy style of playmaking to the more freeform style of the G League, Daniels was the perfect mix of creative and methodical. With little advantage creators on the roster, Dyson knew how to draw in defenders, get to his spots and find the open man.

Defense

Dyson’s long frame and quick feet allow him to guard the one through four positions. Dyson led the G League in deflections last season with 3.9 deflections per game. This preseason with the Pelicans, Dyson averaged 5.3 steals, 1.3 blocks and 8.7 deflections per 36. The deflections would be three higher than Matisse Thybulle, who led the league in deflections last season. Dyson’s considered a “glue guy” due to his keen shot-blocking ability and his versatility defensively. While his offense may struggle to begin his career, Dyson will find his minutes on the defensive end. With added weight, Dyson could quickly become one of the more dominant defenders in the league.

Outlook

On a Pelicans team with many skilled players, Dyson can come to use on the defensive end and as a connective creator on offense. The Pelicans have plenty of skilled players that, with Dyson, can lead to many creative options. Dyson, alongside Herb Jones and Trey Murphy III, will likely anchor the wing defense for the Pelicans this season. If Dyson can improve as a shooter off the catch, he can add a new fold to his game, and the Pelicans offense. Next to many creators with versatile offensive games, the possibilities and avenues to success for Dyson Daniels are endless in New Orleans.

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Paolo Banchero https://theswishtheory.com/scouting-reports/paolo-banchero/ Mon, 17 Oct 2022 16:22:22 +0000 https://theswishtheory.com/?post_type=scouting-reports&p=3058 Meet Paolo Banchero The top pick in the 2022 draft makes a trio of big players who can do a little dribbling, passing and shooting on the Magic, with Banchero, Wagner and Carter Jr. providing a unique frontcourt of the future. Banchero is the most traditional initiator of the trio, by virtue of his creativity ... Read more

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Meet Paolo Banchero

The top pick in the 2022 draft makes a trio of big players who can do a little dribbling, passing and shooting on the Magic, with Banchero, Wagner and Carter Jr. providing a unique frontcourt of the future. Banchero is the most traditional initiator of the trio, by virtue of his creativity with the ball in addition to dynamic athleticism. Paolo can nail the footwork on a stutter rip before accelerating into a midrange spin and finish or pull-up. While his shot polish needs some fine-tuning within that framework, the results have still been good for a creator of his size, most notably shooting 38% on deep twos in his only year at Duke with 80% of those makes unassisted.

The Magic have already cleaned up his form a bit to encourage a higher release, and a less bulky upper body has meant more quickness in preseason. Banchero has the benefit of having the talent and skill to always suggest the investment is worth it, and with that confidence the Magic can plot for many years of actions between Paolo and Franz. With a lot of combined ballhandling and passing talent across the roster, Orlando will need Banchero to move off the ball more than he did in college. Getting acclimated to the more versatile role could be an adjustment, but Paolo’s elite proprioception (awareness of body in space), creativity attacking in the halfcourt and quickness for strength will do him wonders in acclimating. Using his strong frame to set screens and making quick reads with the ball would as well, both of which he began to show in preseason.

The defensive side of the ball is where Banchero can improve the most, as he has a tendency to ball-watch both in college and in the NBA preseason. But his awareness of, put simply, how basketball works shines through from time to time here as well, with a nose for loose balls or making contests at the rim. The technique needs work, as does understanding an NBA defensive system after coasting at Duke, but the tools are there and not lacking.

Adjusting to the speed of the NBA can be challenging, and necessitates clueing in to the fine details of the sport. But an excess of skill and talent at age 20, particularly as a valued scorer and passer as a bruising forward, makes that easier. And once he gets his sea legs, Banchero could become the conductor of a very good offense, or at the least a very good second-side creator for one. Alongside Franz Wagner, the playmaking duo could be trouble sooner rather than later.

The post Paolo Banchero appeared first on Swish Theory.

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