In this piece, Swish Theory contributors look at exactly that. We reflect on our “favorite” misses, those who have taught us the most along our various hoops journeys.

Matt Powers

Jayson Tatum.

While I was much less tuned into the draft, mostly highlight scouting until 2020, I still took pride in making a quick board or a friendly wager with friends regarding prospect outcomes. Jayson Tatum has a lot that I look for in a prospect, a smart defender with skill, green flag production and a great athlete. But, reader, I did not buy the shot. The aesthetics of the Duke motion got under my skin in a way I could not explain, a two-motion release that involved often violent gathers and flaring out on release. I let this issue cloud my overall opinion of the now consensus star for the Boston Celtics, and, while I did not make an official board this season, had major concerns about him as a top 3 draft pick. If the shot doesn’t fall, I expected the rest of the game to crumble…or else was just so distracted by the aesthetics – not even that bad, but enough to trigger a massive red flag in my analysis.

That all was fixed within the first week of Summer League. A 34% shooter from deep in college, Tatum smoothed out his motion and generally has excelled as an athlete where, even if it didn’t improve, he likely would still be an All-Star anyways. But a career 38% on heavy volume (including 43% as a rookie) I never could have imagined. That all made the rest of his game, already strong, even easier, the undisputed leader for a consistent title contender at a young age. Better shooting meant lower thresholds for innovation in the rest of his game, exploring the studio space as a handler and passer to make consistent leaps in skill. That taught me a harsh lesson about the uncertainties of shooting, the dangers of aesthetics, the value of compounding flashes of skill and, well, sometimes it just happens.

A maxim I’ve developed is that with draft research, someone will always be higher or lower than you on every aspect of a player’s game. It’s not worth staking out ground as the guy who doesn’t believe in a player’s shot, or, on the other end, convinced they are guaranteed to be 40%+ from deep. Every scale is fluid and incremental, and a change in trajectory for one skill or trait has downstream impacts on every other one. In overanalyzing a single item, it’s likely you’re too narrow in your imagination. 

Josh Url

Willie Cauley-Stein.

Before the 2015 draft I was excited by the defensive potential of Willie Cauley-Stein (WCS). He seemed destined to be a switchable rim protector and lob threat at 7’0” 240 lbs with crazy athletic tools. Of all the centers in NBA Draft Combine history at the time WCS posted:

• The fastest lane agility drill time (better than the average score for pgs).
• The 2nd fastest ¾ sprint time.
• The highest max vertical reach (tied for 1st).

On top of the ELITE athleticism WCS looked defensively dominant for the 38-1 Kentucky Wildcats. An NBA executive even told me that WCS was THE best defensive prospect he had seen over his long career. Unfortunately, Willie’s NBA career did not play out as expected. 

Missing on WCS taught me two lessons: 

1. Even top 1% athleticism is not guaranteed to translate to NBA defensive dominance. Now, I prioritize decisive defensive decision-making over athletic tools. 
2. Most players do not get a bigger role in the NBA so it’s important to know if the player will embrace their NBA role. WCS said “The story on me going into this draft is that I’m an elite defender with a raw offensive game. In my head I’m thinking, how would you even know what I’m capable of offensively?” Self-belief is good but so is self-awareness.

Charlie Cummings

Jerome Robinson.

Okay, take a moment to laugh. I deserve it.

I learned two hard lessons with Jerome Robinson. First, don’t place stock in a couple of big games above the overarching body of work (in this case, his 24 points in Boston College’s upset of #1 ranked Duke and 46 points against Notre Dame). Before “that dawg in him” was on the radar, let alone criminally overused, that’s what I thought Jerome had.

I also failed to see how the athleticism would (or wouldn’t) translate. He simply did not have the physical tools to keep up defensively or create consistent rim pressure, and the perimeter scoring alone was not strong enough to keep him on the field. So a player I ranked 7^th when draft Twitter consensus had him 39^th unsurprisingly flopped. The career 4.5 PPG on a 43.9% eFG hit me like a shotgun to the chest.

Now I know to balance the good games scouted with the bad ones, and to value athletic tools as the ultimate “make or miss” aspect of a prospect profile. Thank you, Jerome, for the brutal lesson.

Dennis Janßen

LaMelo Ball.

Sounds weird, because I had LaMelo #1 on my board as of the draft, but it took me a long time and some outside influence to come around on him. Everybody remembers the Ball-led Chino Hills teams and especially the skinny, blonde-dyed haired LaMelo pulling up from halfcourt, scoring 90+ points in a high school game (including accusations of opposite coaches to ruin basketball in its entity). I had my fair share of reservations about LaMelo, including being heavily biased from the media coverage I got living overseas, which was mostly on the negative side.

Inefficient, broken shot, selfish, showboating without any hope he could guard anyone on an NBA floor was my broad takeaway from watching him in high school and the NBL and I missed the forest for the trees. What happened?

I started draft scouting with the 2020 cycle, was extremely clueless contextualizing player development and growth of youth players. What really opened my eyes in regard to LaMelo Ball was a piece about him from PD Web:

L A M E L O

The look behind the curtain revealed that LaMelo actually is an outer-worldly, instinctual basketballer that maybe just needs some further polish in his game. Like PD said, “All Ball all the time has not really allowed for jumper surgery, the similarities from when I first saw Melo in middle school to Chino to overseas to now are striking.” His youth career was unique in a sense of really pushing his feel and decision-making development, whilst not establishing the typical “old school” baseline of things like a constant defensive motor or visually appealing jumper. Melo is a unique prospect that required a different look at his tape I wasn’t able to have at the time. It didn’t take long for him to really beat off most of my concerns about his shot and overall efficiency, whilst being one of the most promising young ball handlers of the league.

Oscar

Sharife Cooper.

In my time as a draft scout, I’ve encountered few prospects as tempting to proclaim support for as Sharife Cooper. Coming out of Auburn, Rife presented the perfect storm of factors that made his hill one worth dying on: a wildly exciting player with several exceptionally rare traits and statistical indicators, plus with a crowd of bad faith detractors pointing to a 12 game college 3pt shooting sample as evidence of his bust potential. 

Sharife’s combination of handling ingenuity, virtuosic passing acumen and advanced finishing toolbox fueled my belief that he could be the exception to the rule for small guards making the leap to the league. His stint at Auburn was statistically unprecedented in a variety of ways: his free throw rate (.560, more than 10 FTs/40 mins), assist rate (52%!), and touch indicators (83% from the line, consistent pinpoint accuracy as a high volume lob thrower) were all gargantuan green flags for an offensive engine prospect. Many evaluators were scared off by Cooper’s poor 3pt shooting at Auburn (13/57 for a ghastly 23% mark), but I never saw this as a big issue considering his solid pre-college shooting track record and career-long proficiency from the line. Indeed, Cooper has shot a rock solid 137/379 (36%) from deep on about 7 attempts/100 possessions in his 76 G-League games to date, a mark that many of his doubters swore he would never reach only 2 years ago.

The more legitimate critique of Cooper’s game to me was always whether he could overcome the razor-thin margin for error that small guards get as inside-the-arc scorers and defenders. Two years into his NBA career, it seems like the answer to this question is a no (though I’m holding out hope that he’ll flourish in bench minutes if given the chance!).  

Ultimately, my mistake was zeroing in on what most people pointed to as Sharife’s weakest skill: his touch is good, it was always good, and any evaluator using a holistic shooting projection would have told you so at the time of the draft. But I was too quick to earmark Cooper as a lottery lock simply because I didn’t buy the primary argument of the scouts who were fading him. This is a fairly intuitive thought process: everyone seems to agree that Player X’s swing skill is shooting, I have no doubt that this player will shoot, therefore I must be higher on him than the public and should move him up my board. This is one of the pitfalls of allowing the shadow of consensus to creep into personal evaluation: perhaps if I wasn’t so familiar with Cooper’s prospect narrative as an alleged non-shooter, I would’ve examined the other potential pitfalls in his skillset with a closer eye. 

Nick

Tyrese Haliburton.

As someone who was young and just getting into scouting at the time, Haliburton slipped past my mind as a real guy in his 2020 NBA Draft Class and I believe this miss ultimately made me a better evaluator in the long run. I had major reservations with Haliburton compared to people who had him top 10 or even top 5 in that draft class. This was also the most chaotic draft cycle with the pandemic limiting games and delaying the draft until November, and also there being nearly no consensus within draft twitter. With there being no consensus as far as rankings for this draft cycle, you really had to know your stuff and if you saw a guy you really believed in, there was pretty much free reign to move him up where ever you saw fit. 

When the people that knew their stuff saw Haliburton, they saw the elite advanced stats, high feel and IQ, plus a great 3PT shooter and passer. When I saw Haliburton it was the weird jumpshot, average handle and below average ability to get to the rim that concerned me. My thinking at the time was in his best outcome, Haliburton would be a player similar to Lonzo Ball. Elite role player, good 3PT shooter and passer, great IQ but those flaws would hinder him from becoming anything above that and boy was I wrong: I knew I underrated him from just watching him his rookie year.

Some key attributes I missed on that led him to being better than I anticipated was his shot versatility and him being a 41% 3PT shooter off the bat in his rookie year. I thought he would at least need some type of adjustment with his slow load up type and having somewhat of a set shot but nope. And he was also able to get those threes off in a variety of ways that clearly showed he could handle more of an offensive load than I projected. Another key trait of Haliburton’s that I slept on was his ability to be a true point guard. While I thought he was a PG before, I projected him to be more of an off-ball PG where he would be best with a jumbo creator. Tyrese instantly showed he can handle the ball effectively and had a great deal of passing versatility that let him be more of a real creator than I anticipated. 

By missing on Haliburton: I learned to trust funky jumpshots if the touch was clearly there and if they got their shots off in a variety of ways; I learned to ease up on the comps because they can limit your view of the prospect and lead you thinking one way when you should’ve been thinking the other way; and also just to trust the feel and IQ every time. This last part helped me in the next draft class to believe in Josh Giddey and Franz Wagner, when you combine superb mental reading/understanding of the game with great skill, you get special players, simply put. 

Emiliano

Robert Woodard II.

Even though I hung out in Draft Twitter circles since 2018, the 2020 Draft was probably the first one I followed very closely.

In that class, there was a guy I had relatively high on my board (early 20s) compared to the main stream and I was pretty convinced he would have become a decent NBA player. That player was Robert Woodard II.

Standing at 6’7, with a 7’1.5 wingspan, a bulky frame and a shiny 42.9% from three he was a catchy prospect for a relatively inexperienced viewer that was trying to build and affirm his own thinking. In hindsight, that really was a youthful mistake. Woodard had interesting skills and traits but he was more of a solid 2nd round bet than a sure first rounder.

I didn’t see (or I pretended I didn’t see?) some red flags and the overall process was chaotic. I learned some meaningful lesson from that misevaluation:

Archetype isn’t everything

At the time I let the “3&D wing” label single-handedly convince me that he was “NBA ready” and deserved greater attentions.

Archetypes are easy to identify but actual skills and their level are what matters.

Don’t rely on small samples

The 42.9% from three was a really appealing component of Woodard’s profile. However, he attempted only 70 threes in his sophomore season at Mississippi State. This sample wasn’t reliable, nor was it even indicative.

Indeed, he never really find his shot at the next level: he made just the 30.4% of his threes in G League through 3 seasons (116/381, considering Regular Season and Showcase)

Scoring talent matters

In hindsight, it’s hard to find good NBA 3&Ds that were strictly low usage 3&Ds at the college level. Generally it seems easier for players with a decent offensive talent to scale down to reduced roles where they can excel. Woodard had some indicators of a certain lack of scoring talent, but his low usage (18.2%), poor free throw shooting (61.7% college career) and obvious lack of shooting volume were red flags I missed.

@BeyondTheRK 

Mo Bamba.

What ultimately separated the two unicorns of the 2018 NBA Draft were the little things that are hard to catch without watching the film. One player showed ball skills, control, instincts, traits that could realistically develop a talented prospect into a primary versatile scorer and defensive anchor rather than merely a secondary rim-rolling pick-and-pop play-finisher.

The first player flashed nearly every fundamental skill in the book: ambidextrous baby hook soft touch finishing at the rim; ISO dribble moves on the perimeter; pristine post-up footwork; deep shooting range with a unique shot release that made pull-up threes an option for a fringe seven-footer; the awareness to rotate, switch, and protect the rim on a whim. Maybe most importantly, he looked like he gave a sh*t hustling out there on both ends.

The second player impressed with improbable shooting touch for his size, rebounding well and swatting endless shots in help defense, before decompressing when it came to effort plays like setting screens, hard rim-rolls, or simply sprinting down the floor.

For these two prospects, the measurables and defensive stats left evaluators seeing similarly positive signs on paper pointing to similar signs of success:

Heights of 6’11” and 7’
Wingspans of 7’5” and 7’9”

Neither big man prospect was a strong post-up defender against bigger opposition on the block., yet Jaren Jackson Jr. and Mo Bamba finished 1st and 2nd in BLK%, DBPM, and overall BPM, while helping their collegiate teams rank Top-15 in defensive rating.

Jaren: 14.2 BLK% | 5.9 Stocks | .414 3PAr | 39.6 3pt% — 64.7 TS% — 79.7 FT%
Bamba: 13.0 BLK% | 5.2 Stocks | .189 3PAr | 27.5 3pt% — 59.3 TS% — 68.1 FT%

Mo Bamba ranked 7th in PIPM (+7.24) among all college players measured in 2017-18 and 2018-19, rating just behind Mikal Bridges (5th, +7.57) and Jaren Jackson Jr. (6th, +7.54), via Jacob Goldstein’s Player Impact Plus Minus metric.

Jaren’s main statistical profile advantages were shown in efficiency.

On top of averaging more STL+BLK (5.9) than every top big prospect in his 2018 NBA Draft class (Bamba, Carter, Ayton, Bagley), JJJ scored as efficiently across the board (65% TS%), shooting as well or better on three-point volume (.414 3PAr) and efficiency from beyond the arc (39.6% 3P%) and at the pinstripe. (79.7% FT%)

A historically impressive shot-blocker was also the best 3PT and FT shooter in his class, revealing clean postup footwork, soft finishing touch, developable ball-skills, and effective awareness to know where to be to do the little things asked of a big. While feel for the game can’t be measured, it felt like JJJ’’s feel was off the charts.

My Final 2018 Orlando Magic centric Big Board (drafting with that team in mind)

1. Luka Doncic
2. Jaren Jackson Jr.
3. DeAndre Ayton
4. Mo Bamba
5. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
6. Mikal Bridges
7. Trae Young
8. Wendell Carter Jr.
9. Michael Porter Jr.

Ranking Jaren 2nd overall in a tier with Luka atop my big board feels like my best draft hit ever, yet one of my worst draft misses comes soon after with Bamba at 4th and Ayton at 3rd over a star-studded lottery.

While Ayton’s offensive game creates midrange mismatches and his defensive rotational effort improves when motivated, letting consensus bias win out in my thought process over the more tantalizing high-potential two-way wing and perimeter playmakers is another misevalutation here by me: A month or so before the draft, I rankted Mikal Bridges 4th, Michael Porter Jr. 5th, Mo Bamba 6th, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 8th.

By the time draft night rolled around, I talked myself into Bamba’s best case 3&D anchor upside over tall dynamic two-way wings Bridges’s and Porter’s instinctual versatile big wing defense, tough shot making, and outside shooting, also leaving all-star scoring creator guards Shai and Trae behind Mo as well. My Final Magic Big Board bumped Bamba up to 4th (bad) and Shai up to 5th (good), moving down Bridges to 6th (bad) and Porter to 9th (bad, partly due to back concerns).

In defense of Bamba, this Orlando Magic team was never invested in him as a starter, removing majority of opportunity for playing with starting-caliber playmakers; Mo did not log one minute on the floor with the young core of Fultz, Gordon, and Isaac. Touches were sparse as long as the offense ran through the high-usage post-up hub in Nikola Vucevic; on the other hand, any playing time Mo received tended to go to other bigs who brought more energy running the floor like Khem Birch and Mo Wagner.

I have had more glaring draft misses, as I too am waiting on the Sharife Cooper league takeover tour. I was unimpressed by the safe choice of Cole Anthony over prospects I viewed with higher ceilings, tweeted loudly about Maxey, Bane, and Poku next to Fultz and Isaac on draft night.

Drafting the wrong prospect at the top of any draft could set a team back for years; doing so in a class as historically talented as 2018 could be extremely detrimental. While 2018 remains my favorite draft class to have scouted to this day, this slight, late-process change of opinion moving a prospect up the board too late in the game based on “what-if” potential could have major consequences to a team-building process. Orlando seemingly could have moved out of their 6th pick draft slot in 2018, but rumors say they were just as excited as I was about the possibility of selecting Bamba in hopes of him reaching his ceiling as “Gobert with a three point shot”.

Mo Bamba leaves Orlando ranked 1st All-Time in BLK% (6.8%); 6th All-Time in Blocks (364); 13th All-Time in Rebounds (1,556); 37th All-Time in Points (2,037). A seven-foot play-finishing plus-rebounding help-side shot-blocking three point floor-stretcher should have a long career if offered a defined role in this league, in theory. Can Mo Bamba find a playmaker to fully unlock his game, the Chris Paul to his Deandre Jordan? The James Harden to his Ryan Anderson/Serge Ibaka?

Bamba’s Career-High 32 PTS arrived in Philadelphia against his current team, the 76ers, after dropping 5 3PM & 3 BLK in the second quarter. Could Mo still fill a shot-swatting pick-and-pop role similar to Myles Turner in the right situation?

Evidence exists for Mo to succeed in a baseline 3&D role; it’s the little things in and out of his control like effort, consistency, fit, team investment and opportunity that must align. Not living up to some hypothetical potential ceiling doesn’t mean a prospect can’t succeed as the player they end up being as long as they compete, develop, and learn winning habits to carve out a lengthy career. While Bamba’s path to “Gobert with a three point shot” grows narrower by the day, there’s hope he can stick around this league for awhile longer with the right role.

Until then, kids, please stand for the national anthem.

The post ROUNDTABLE: My Favorite NBA Draft Miss appeared first on Swish Theory.

How did they arrive to Swish Theory? Some caught the hoops bug from a high-flying dunker or undeniable bucket-getter. Others fell for unsung heroes, a compelling story or the dynamic strategy of the sport.

Let them tell you below, in their own words, about a specific player who influenced the way they see the game.

Mark Cheung – Contributor

Like in everything, I’ve had good role models and bad role models when it comes to basketball. Just as how you look back on your 12-year old self wondering, “how did I think – insert any pop punk band – was good”, I’ve had those formative moments of thinking Avery Bradley was setting the case for guard DPOYs, or that Jonas Jerebko was gonna be a pioneer of the stretch big era – yeah let’s forget about that one. I was a homer and my favorite players changed how I viewed the game. For better, or often for worse.

I finally saw the light in 2020. That was the year COVID hit, and amongst all of the other crazy things that happened at that time, somehow having more time to pay attention to the NBA draft was one of the more important things that happened to me. As someone who loved and consumed basketball all their life, this was all incredibly new to me. At the time, the NBA was a story of outcomes to me – like checking if my favorite player had a good box score. Analyzing the draft was a story of processes – how did those 16 points in the box score actually get there. I got sucked into this rabbit hole quick- from harmlessly customizing draft classes on NBA2k20 MyLeague, to then reading NBADraft.net scouting reports – all of a sudden, I was nose-deep into The Stepien.

The 2020 draft class became the foundation for how I think basketball. I learned what a skip pass was from guys like Tyrese, Killian, and LaMelo. LaMelo specifically was unlike anyone I’ve watched before – authoring many of my first real conceptions of feel, untraditional athleticism and flexibility and shiftiness, what goes into a good handle, attacking set versus unset defenses, and more. Onyeka and Wiseman taught me each type of pick and roll coverage, the differences between explosive and quick twitch athleticism, and the idea of load time. FSU’s Patrick Williams and Devin Vassell showed me what nail defense was, tagging the roll, 2.9’ing the paint, weakside rim protection and help defense. I could go down my whole board lol – but, in the end, I think any player can impact you and change how you see the game, it’s just when you realize it.

Neema Djavadzadeh – Contributor

Few things give me more life than putting myself through deep, excruciating anguish. Hence, my lifelong devotion to the Houston Rockets. Since I was a young Neema, the Rockets have brandished every wall in my bedroom. Whether it be the two foot tall Yao Ming bobblehead I still have today, or the poster of Tracy McGrady dunking THE EARTH that I still can’t find the image for to this day (and if anyone finds it please DM me). The Rockets, and their players, have had a dear place in my heart, and few made me want to rip it out and throw it in the Bayou the way Josh Smith would every time I’d watch him shoot a three. Despite this, Smith had long been my favorite player, and what started my love for the Point Forward archetype.

Let’s take it back one step further and say that there were two players who made me love basketball, aside from the natural answer of Kobe. Those two players were Steve Nash and Steve Francis (coincidentally, I think Steve is a subpar name). Seeing their handles, their ability to manipulate the court, and shooting prowess made me love the game, and the point guard position.

Until I realized there were 6’9” dudes who could (kinda) do the same thing. Josh Smith, Lamar Odom, Hedo Turkoglu, and many more all suddenly had me glued to my seat. In recent years, I’ve come to appreciate these players and what they bring to a team. Having a player with incredible vision at 6’8” or higher can really disrupt a defensive scheme and we see these players become more and more apparent in today’s game. Now you have legit point guards at 6’8” like Luka Doncic, or you have pseudo-Point Guards who can still run your offense like Dyson Daniels and Cade Cunningham. These players allow so many new avenues for your offense to run, and when those players are also lockdown defenders, they unlock a whole new level to your team. Smith was that for many years in Atlanta, and made me fall back in love with his game when he cooked the Clippers and CP0 to send them crying back home ringless when Smith was a Rocket. Even though he may not be the pioneer of the Point Forward, Josh Smith’s contribution to the archetype (and my love for it) can not be forgotten, including all his missed 3s.

Tyler Wilson – Contributor and Finishing Touch Podcast Co-Host

As a near life-long Spurs fan there is a laundry list of players over the years that have influenced my perception of the game and, quite literally, the name of my child. Fandom is a crazy, tribal thing that is both joyous and devastating, leading me to only one name. Kawhi Leonard.

No player has had a greater impact on my view of the game, from the steady grind of his development to his unbelievable defensive dominance and finally to his sudden injury and departure. On the court, watching a two-way terminator like Kawhi greatly influenced my view of what is important when building a balanced and competitive basketball team. The value of defensive cohesion and versatility cannot be overstated. I will never forget the overwhelming dread of watching those Spurs teams (with the greatest defensive player on the planet) aimlessly stumble around in their attempt to defend the effervescent guards of the mid-2010’s Western Conference. When a single weak link can sink your ship, it’s hard to survive with multiple on the court at once.

Beyond his defensive excellence and the inherently limited nature of that impact without a proper environment, Kawhi’s career made clear to me the insane standard of excellence in this league. The level at which you have to continually improve not only in on-court skill, but mental and emotional strength as well is enormous. It takes a special kind of person, not any skillset or athleticism, to make that possible. Projecting that from the tape of a singular college season is a flawed endeavor, a larger picture of someone’s propensity for growth is a necessity.

The memories of Kawhi in a Spurs uniform will always have a strange hue to them, but that’s the way the cookie crumbles. In the end, the whole debacle is what drove me into the NBA draft world and an entirely different viewpoint of the sport I already loved. It reinforced the brevity of championship contention and the fickle nature of relationships between player and franchise. Most importantly, it made clear just how thin the margins are when you are pursuing greatness. One error can send everything up in smoke, and time is of the essence.

Larry Golden – Co-Founder and Swish Theory Podcast Co-Host

I have to be honest, growing up I wasn’t a fan of the game as strongly as I am now. Before the obsession came for basketball, there was an obsession for Dragon Ball Z. I was a Krillin fan before any star on the basketball court. I remember after the last rerun of DBZ was over I started to flip through the channels and stopped once I saw these yellow jerseys pop off the screen. Those belonged to high school basketball powerhouse Oak Hill Academy, and that happened to be the night Carmelo Anthony pushed me into the game.

Beyond the loud jerseys, Carmelo’s game was just as loud. He was 6’7” with handle, athleticism and a sweet jumper. I couldn’t believe someone at that size was that smooth as an athlete. From that day forward I followed Melo wherever he went. His Syracuse year was unbelievable, averaging 22 points and 10 rebounds. That year in the Final Four versus Texas was a sight to see, as Royal Ivey and Brandon Mouton were no match for the clear top talent in all of college basketball that season. He finished the night with 33 points on 12-of-19 shooting while grabbing 14 rebounds. Melo would then take care of Captain Kirk Hinrich and Nick Collison of University of Kansas in the National Championship game.

After that season, I remember watching all of his highlights on YouTube and trying my best to mimic his shooting form. Shoveling snow off the driveway and putting jumpers up in the cold freezing winter in Chicago. There are a couple guys that helped shape my love for the game, but Carmelo Anthony is the one who pulled me away from watching Saiyans and pushing me to the hardwood.

David Sajdak – Contributor and Finishing Touch Podcast Co-Host

I grew up in Dallas, but the beginning of my obsession with basketball didn’t coincide with either Dirk Nowitzki’s prime or the championship season in 2011. Back then, soccer stole all my focus, and I only watched basketball in casual settings. Messi was young David’s hero, not Dirk (sorry to my fellow Mavs fans). Instead, the player that sparked my love for the NBA, and fundamentally changed how I viewed the game, was Dennis Smith Jr.

I remember flipping to a Mavs game (iirc it was this one vs the Wizards) one night just because it was on and being captivated by DSJs electric, high-flying play. From then on, I was locked in, watching almost every Mavs game and closely monitoring the upcoming draft, imagining what different players could look like next to Smith. As a reader of Mavs Moneyball, who had several writers singing his praises, I became Luka Doncic-pilled very quickly, catching highlights of the young Slovenian sensation whenever I could. When the Mavs dropped from the 3rd pick to the 5th on lottery day, I remember thinking that my hopes of seeing Luka in a Mavs uniform were all but dashed. We all know what happened next, and for half a season, I got to see my dream backcourt play together. Dennis’ time in Dallas came to an end sooner than I expected, but I’ve had the fortune to watch Luka Doncic play basketball for my favorite team ever since.

Over time, I’ve become more invested in the NBA and the draft, in particular, taking an interest in the analytical side of the game as a tool to help make sense of what happens on the court. I started learning about data visualization and data science in general during quarantine, and now I combine it along with my own analysis to write about the game that I love. As I get closer and closer to my goal of eventually making this my career, I think back to that November night every so often, when a Dennis Smith Jr. dunk forever changed the trajectory of my life.

Kris Amundsen – Co-Founder and Swish Theory Podcast Co-Host

I did not discover my love of basketball until very late in the game. I grew up in Southern California, catching pieces of major sporting events like the World Series or NBA Finals, but none of my family and friends had a true rooting interest in any specific sport, team, or player. Instead, it wasn’t until I was already in law school that a passion for basketball crept up on me unexpectedly. I had loosely followed the college basketball career of Jimmer Fredette because I graduated from BYU around the same time he ascended to national attention. After spending a few seasons with the Sacramento Kings, Fredette was traded mid-season in 2014 to the Chicago Bulls, and I decided to watch a few Bulls games to see if he was going to pan out in the NBA.

I don’t recall Jimmer playing very much, but I became captivated by the Bulls. Having lost Derrick Rose to another knee injury and Luol Deng to cheap ownership, the Bulls’ playoff hopes should have been toast with a 14-18 record on the day of the Deng trade. Instead, Joakim Noah and crew went on a 34-16 tear the rest of the year and Noah finished 4th in MVP voting. Watching Noah play was such an odd experience. He wasn’t super athletic, had an ugly-looking shot, and played with a wild demeanor. There was nothing aesthetically pleasing about his game. And he was incredible. I’d never seen a center do what he could do offensively, creating advantages out of seemingly nothing with his passing and (likely illegal) screens, but it was his ferocity and hustle that stood out the most. He was the kind of guy every fan wants on his team and every opposing fan loathes. I never thought he was the kind of player that could succeed in the NBA; now, I feel like every team could use a guy like him. He was the first player who changed the way I viewed basketball and the path to success in the NBA. I’m very grateful for those serendipitous circumstances that have led me to experience the rich beauty of this game since.

Oscar – Contributor

When the Knicks selected RJ Barrett 3rd overall in the 2019 draft, my expectations were through the roof. It was easy to put my weight behind this seemingly-total package prospect who had drawn internet attention for years and was coming from a blue blood school. Media members and fans alike anointed him as the savior of my Knicks, and his resume clearly looked the part! While RJ’s career in New York might not have turned out quite how I imagined to this point, his skillset and development arc were vital to my understanding and passion for basketball.

RJ was my introduction to thinking about basketball critically: the existence of microskills, the relationship between athletic profile and on-court skills, and the idea of “touch” as a latent skill are all things that I learned through watching and thinking about Barrett. RJ offered a different angle than the other Knicks centerpieces I had witnessed to that point. Melo was a midpost technician with out-of-this-world shotmaking skills, and Porzingis offered an intersection of rim protection and shooting that was unique to the league at the time. But Barrett’s sell was much less tangible, and relied on things like functional strength, rim rate, and mentality – traits that aren’t as widely discussed amongst casual basketball fans as skills like pull-up shooting or ball handling ability. RJ’s combination of youth career prestige, underlying holes in skillset, and brand of strength-based creation taught me how to think outside of the box as an evaluator.

Gannon Rice – Contributor

Growing up in Chicago, I’ve been watching the Bulls for as long as I can remember. The success of the early 2010s Bulls led by Keith Bogans were the first teams I recall being a fan of. Never will I forget my Taj Gibson starting agenda I had during those years. However, I was young, and was never able to appreciate how good those teams were, nor was I that big of a basketball fan then. Some years go by, and we’re sitting at the 2017 playoffs. These were odd times for the Bulls, as this was the post-Derrick Rose era led by a combination of old veterans and the up-and-coming Jimmy Butler. We squeaked into the playoffs as an eight seed, squared off with the Boston Celtics. I was more than surprised by what happened to start the series, and that was due to the wizardry of Rajon Rondo.

Entering the playoffs, my expectations were low, given we were the 8 seed and showcased pure mediocrity throughout the season. However, Rajon and the Bulls came to play. Game 1 wasn’t a dazzling performance by any means, but filled up the stat sheet with 12 points, 8 rebounds (5 offensive), 6 assists, along with 3 stocks to help the Bulls to make the series 1-0. In the second game, he dropped 11 points, 9 rebounds, 14 assists, and 5 steals to make the series 2-0. Rondo had me captivated by his crafty finishing, pesky defense, and complete control of the floor, wowing me with his exceptional passing ability. I still remember my excitement during the game watching Rondo tear apart the Celtics defense and nagging my parents about how awesome Stacey King is. Rajon re-ignited some hope for this rag-tag Bulls crew to be enshrined in history for defeating a 1 seed in the first round. Unfortunately, he got injured and missed the rest of the series.

The Bulls ended up losing the next 4 games without Rondo, and for the next 4 years were a laughing stock of the NBA. However, Rondo’s short, but sweet, playoff performance activated my passion for the game and remains as one of my favorite basketball memories.

Matt Powers – Co-Founder and Lead Editor

Going to go ahead and show my age up front by picking Dale Davis. Growing up I was taken by the late 90s/early 00s Pacers teams. While Reggie Miller led them to the Finals in 2000, it was the bruising Davis who caught my eye. Amid all the dazzling technique of the series as the Pacers eventually lost to the Kobe-Shaq Lakers in six games, it was how the relatively dull Davis found a perfect application for skillset.

While typically playing PF next to Rik Smits, the 7’4’’ Dunking Dutchman suffered consistent foul trouble against the bulldozer that was Shaq in his prime. Davis, while still giving up ample height and weight to Shaq, and despite his generally workman-like approach to the game, was a genius of physicality. The former 13th pick was able to keep the defense treading water against the dominant big man. With well-placed arm bars, quick feet, active hands and constant vigilance Davis was able to pester one of the best players the game has ever seen.

To me, and despite ultimately losing the series, Davis showed me, in his discipline and technique, how dynamic the game can be. What could be seen as weaknesses became immense strengths at the highest level of the game. And despite being a regular joe forgotten to the annals of history compared to Shaq’s immense legacy, Dale Davis hung with him and made him earn every inch.

Will Morris – Contributor

Isaiah Thomas helped spark my love for basketball. I’ve been a Celtics supporter for my entire life, but was only four years old when the squad took home the 2008 championship. By the time I became a true C’s fan, Pierce, Garnett, and all the players from that team had passed their primes. So, my first memories of supporting a “good” NBA team were between 2015 and 2017 when the King of the Fourth ran the show in Boston.

IT was the perfect hero for me: 60th pick in the draft, over a foot shorter than some of his opponents, and had already been counted out by two other organizations before arriving in Boston. His underdog story allowed me to hold on to my childish professional basketball dreams a few years longer than your typical middle school NBA fan. I look back on that time fondly, with memories of Tommy Heinsohn cheering “The Little Guy!” after each game-clinching shot. Every now and then I fire up his highlights, still finding myself amazed by his strength, change-of-pace ability, and pull-up shotmaking.

While Thomas’ time in Boston (and time as a true NBA star) was short, I credit him for helping me fall in love with the game.

Ross Pinsler – Co-Founder and Web/SEO

When I started watching basketball in the mid-2000s, my favorite team was not very good. At the time, the Bulls were mid-rebuild (literally, a mid rebuild) and the future of the franchise was up in the air. To a young and impressionable Ross, basketball was a sport built off of dominant iso scorers. A league predicated on star power. I wasn’t exactly wrong at the time.

Then, the Chicago Bulls drafted this guy named Derrick Rose. He only reinforced the image I had in my head of what an NBA superstar looked like. But this response isn’t actually about him. When Rose’s injury troubles began, a new star emerged in his place: Joakim Noah. 

An actual beast of a man who could not shoot or score like these other NBA stars. He was not built like the dominant centers of the day, and he did not care if he antagonized an entire rival fan base during a road playoff game. He reveled in it.

He looked… kinda funny. He shot free throws like he had never seen a basketball before. He said whatever came to his mind. But on the court, he was able to lead the team. He ran fast breaks like a point guard. Joakim Noah was the first player I heard the term “point-center” applied to. He paired those guard skills with a Defensive Player of the Year award and numerous points/blocks/assists triple doubles. 

To a younger me who was still navigating the ins and outs of the game, Joakim Noah broke the mold. He became the face of a franchise and an MVP candidate by being the ultimate glue guy, and making his money doing the dirty work. He didn’t need to hit a stepback jumper in your face to win a game. He’d rather be the one blocking it.

Charlie Cummings – Contributor

Though I can tell you all about those gloriously awful Nellie Ball Warriors teams and the We Believe Squad, all my learning came in retrospect. I didn’t grow up in a sports household; there would be a Giants game on if anything, but never any basketball. What first caught my eye was watching the Finals in 2009 and 2010, the two faceoffs between the Lakers and the Celtics. I hardly understood what I was seeing, but I knew that I loved watching Pau Gasol play.

A big who played inside and out, constantly used his body for screens and positioning, could pass from almost any angle, and finish with authority as well as he could hit a pick-and-pop jumper. A primal scream here and there was all too endearing to my middle school ears. I was beginning to understand some parts of the game, but most importantly I was starting to get hooked.

Fast forward to the Spurs-Heat Finals. I had begun following the Warriors in earnest like a lot of my friends in years prior, but they had little identity at the time. What I really loved watching was how those San Antonio teams worked as a complete unit. They made all the right passes, took the right shots, always kept things together no matter who they faced. But it was Tim Duncan who really evolved my understanding of the game.

He combined all of the offensive aspects I loved about watching Pau with impeccable defense and a calm demeanor. Watching Duncan taught me the importance of positioning, footwork, defensive organization, and how to execute in every defensive facet possible. It opened my eyes to the machinations of the game, and how much existed under the surface that I hadn’t even begun to understand.

Before that, I had thought that dominance was flashy, loud, athletic. Duncan helped me grasp how much of dominance comes from preparation, study, and mental processing. He flipped how I saw basketball upside down, and I could never look at it the same.

Years later, watching players Draymond Green and LeBron James remind me of how much more there is to learn about the dynamics on the floor. But ultimately, that impression of Duncan showed me what a wealth of knowledge is available in basketball, and rooted deep in me a desire to understand as much as I could about the game I love.

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